Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 43 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 15 July 2026 at 13:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 13th strongest of the 48 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 15 July 2026. 9 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued July 14 at 2:06PM CDT until July 17 at 6:11AM CDT by NWS Austin/San Antonio TX
Urban PEI: 16,476 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 10 March 2026
- July 14, 2026 · score 34 · 13.4 km
- March 10, 2026 · score 58 · 18.9 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.81/1 |
| Coordinates | 29.4514, -99.7175 |
| Nearest City | Uvalde (28 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 16.5K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-16T04:58:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.509ba666d0a46aa548a1e714a1209951 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-16T04:58:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-07-14T19:51:10.238Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Expected |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Bexar, TX; Kimble, TX; Frio, TX and 3 more areas |
| Headline | Flood Warning issued July 14 at 2:06PM CDT until July 17 at 6:11AM CDT by NWS Austin/San Antonio TX |
| Expires | 2026-07-15T08:15:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Austin/San Antonio TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 10 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.509ba666d0a46aa548a1e714a1209951c17e0470.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b0733c9d92c79c943dae10c06c781ad6a3aba860.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b74635ec79f4926225fa5576a9caef1107c5d9e4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e60a0655b3ed1b860e95cd2eff0ab1494b39af54.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3b6fe70d1560f9d4ee404c7d64bb2d3d7b8dd1fd.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.051795ee9a8e4958c349039a1f4a005e66a13c97.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c4ee6d7d14dc5e8ff9ada6dd9c69bf2d8000f53c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.49d765097885e87f933b47063052f5cfc881f150.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.61f584c17b56bac2abe4fb0d8df6e8573457bc31.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2ee5db94c2bfc66335995b5f9c86918559271655.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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